Multivariate modelling of infectious disease surveillance data
Identifieur interne : 003323 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 003322; suivant : 003324Multivariate modelling of infectious disease surveillance data
Auteurs : M. Paul [Suisse] ; L. Held [Suisse] ; A. M. Toschke [Royaume-Uni]Source :
- Statistics in Medicine [ 0277-6715 ] ; 2008-12-20.
Abstract
This paper describes a model‐based approach to analyse multivariate time series data on counts of infectious diseases. It extends a method previously described in the literature to deal with possible dependence between disease counts from different pathogens. In a spatio‐temporal context it is proposed to include additional information on global dispersal of the pathogen in the model. Two examples are given: the first describes an analysis of weekly influenza and meningococcal disease counts from Germany. The second gives an analysis of the spatio‐temporal spread of influenza in the U.S.A., 1996–2006, using air traffic information. Maximum likelihood estimates in this non‐standard model class are obtained using general optimization routines, which are integrated in the R package surveillance. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Url:
DOI: 10.1002/sim.3440
Affiliations:
- Royaume-Uni, Suisse
- Angleterre, Canton de Zurich, Grand Londres
- Londres, Zurich
- King's College de Londres, Université de Zurich
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Le document en format XML
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">This paper describes a model‐based approach to analyse multivariate time series data on counts of infectious diseases. It extends a method previously described in the literature to deal with possible dependence between disease counts from different pathogens. In a spatio‐temporal context it is proposed to include additional information on global dispersal of the pathogen in the model. Two examples are given: the first describes an analysis of weekly influenza and meningococcal disease counts from Germany. The second gives an analysis of the spatio‐temporal spread of influenza in the U.S.A., 1996–2006, using air traffic information. Maximum likelihood estimates in this non‐standard model class are obtained using general optimization routines, which are integrated in the R package surveillance. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.</div>
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